Week 4 Betting Lines

Lines Date & Time	Favorite	Line	Underdog	Total
10/2 1:00 ET	At Dallas	-2.5	Detroit	46
10/2 1:00 ET	New Orleans	-7	At Jacksonville	45
10/2 1:00 ET	At Philadelphia	-9.5	San Francisco	43.5
10/2 1:00 ET	Washington	-2.5	At St. Louis	43.5
10/2 1:00 ET	At Cleveland	-1	Tennessee	39
10/2 1:00 ET	Buffalo	-3	At Cincinnati	43.5
10/2 1:00 ET	Minnesota	-3	At Kansas City	39.5
10/2 1:00 ET	At Chicago	-6.5	Carolina	42.5
10/2 1:00 ET	At Houston	-3.5	Pittsburgh	45
10/2 4:05 ET	Atlanta	-4.5	At Seattle	38.5
10/2 4:05 ET	NY Giants	-1	At Arizona	44.5
10/2 4:15 ET	At San Diego	-7	Miami	44.5
10/2 4:15 ET	At Green Bay	-12	Denver	46
10/2 4:15 ET	New England	-5	At Oakland	55
10/2 8:25 ET	At Baltimore	-3.5	NY Jets	42

Monday Night Football Line

10/3 8:35 ET	At Tampa Bay	-10	Indianapolis	40.5

I’M TAKING

At Dallas -2.5 Detroit

Dallas is a decent team with talent all over the field but they are dealing with injuries everywhere and are coming of a home win that they had to sneak out at the last second against Rex Grossman and the Redskins.  Not exactly a ringing endorsement.  The Lions are healthy, loaded and most of all undefeated and playing with tons of confidence.  I’m taking Detroit getting 2.5 points on the road in Dallas

New England -5 At Oakland

Coming off a loss to a team they thought they should have beat the Patriots will be out for blood.  This team was embarrassed last week in Buffalo as Brady threw 4 picks and they left Orchard Park with their tails between their legs.  Look for Belichik and Co to put a world class beating on the overmatched Raiders in Oakland.  Brady will get back on track with 4 TD’s minimum and I’m more confident in the Pats covering -5 points than any other pick I’ve made so far this season.

Atlanta -4.5 At Seattle

The Seahawks are terrible.  They can’t run, they can’t pass and they can’t play D.  Not a good thing when Matt Ryan and his boys come to town.  Seattle is notorious for having a deafeningly loud stadium but that is not going to help their shaky D cover an Atlanta team 2 deep at all playmaking positions that also rolls out a Top 5 WR, Top 5 RB and a potential Top 5 TE in Tony Gonzalez.  Take the Dirty Birds to cover the spread and rest easily on your couch watching them laugh at -4.5 points.

BE CAREFUL WITH

At Philadelphia -9.5 San Francisco

When Philly is good they are unstoppable.  The problem is, Vick is banged up AGAIN this week and even though he looks like a go, this team, despite their immense talent is just too hot and cold right now for me to count on them covering almost ten points.  Now, they easily could win by 21 but on the other hand, they could also win by a last second field goal.  They’ve not looked like the team prognosticators had them being so far this season and until they can prove consistently that they are a real Top 5 team, I cannot count on them to cover -9.5 points.

RUN THE OTHER WAY

Buffalo -3 At Cincinnati

The Bills are the better team and should win this game, but as so often happens after an emotional game, teams sometimes come out with an emotional letdown the following week.  Not saying its going to happen but it could and Vegas thinks so as eveidenced by being only a 3 point road favorite on the road.  Cincy has a good defense, probably the best the Bills have seen this season (not saying much) but I just smell a very close game and maybe even a 1 point loss for the Bills.  I just don’t feel like this is a safe bet and there are much better games to place your money on.

Washington – 2.5 At St. Louis

Ugliest game of the week. Could go either way, don’t go near it.