Week 5 Betting Lines

Lines

Date & Time	Favorite	Line	Underdog	Total
10/9 1:00 ET	At Indianapolis	-2.5	Kansas City	38.5
10/9 1:00 ET	At Minnesota	-2.5	Arizona	45
10/9 1:00 ET	Philadelphia	-2.5	At Buffalo	50
10/9 1:00 ET	At Houston	-6	Oakland	48.5
10/9 1:00 ET	New Orleans	-6.5	At Carolina	51.5
10/9 1:00 ET	At Jacksonville	-2.5	Cincinnati	36.5
10/9 1:00 ET	At Pittsburgh	-3	Tennessee	39.5
10/9 1:00 ET	At NY Giants	-10	Seattle	43.5
10/9 4:05 ET	At San Francisco	-3	Tampa Bay	41
10/9 4:15 ET	At New England	-9	NY Jets	49
10/9 4:15 ET	San Diego	-4	At Denver	46

Sunday Night Football Line

10/9 8:30 ET

Green Bay

-5.5

At Atlanta

53

Monday Night Football Line

10/10 8:35 ET	At Detroit	-5.5	Chicago	47.5

I’M TAKING

At Minnesota -2.5 Arizona

Minnesota is just plain bad.  Andy Reid looks smarter everyday for jettisoning #5 to the division rival Redskins last season.  We all see how well he worked out in Washington…..so well that Shannahan and Son felt more comfortable going with the always reliable Rex Grossman and Franchise QB to be John Beck.  Ouch.  The only thing Minnesota has going for them besides Adrian Peterson is that Christian Ponder can’t look any worse than an aging, 30 pound overweight, noodle armed McNabb.  Arizona seems to have resurrected their running game with a healthy Beanie Wells who had a monster day this past Sunday.  Although Kolb still hasn’t really found his way yet, I like him better than McNabb who’s top two receivers last week were both tight ends who finished with less than 60 yards each.  I think Arizona wins this game outright and they have the type of team speed that translates well in dome conditions.  I’m taking Arizona +2.5 points.

New Orleans -6.5 At Carolina

Carolina is much improved and with Cam Newton under center they are a threat to go the distance every time they are on the field.  I just don’t think their defense can keep up with the Saints offense enough that the Saints don’t win by at least seven points.  Cam Newton has come down a bit off the cloud he was floating on his first two weeks and now that teams have more film on him and a better idea that his only real target is pocket rocket Steve Smith, I just think they are outmatched on Sunday.  I can easily see this game ending in the 60 total point range or higher but with just -6.5 points to cover I think its safe to take New Orleans.

RUN THE OTHER WAY

Oakland -5 At Houston

Oakland is much better than many people have been giving them credit for.  Darren McFadden is a top running back and Jason Campbell is doing a good job of managing this offense.  Oh yeah, and Al “The Crypt Keeper” Davis has now passed away giving Oakland an added incentive and emotional boost.  Houston is good but they have no Andre Johnson and Arian foster still is not at full strength.  I think Houston may hang on for the win, but I have little faith in them covering -5.

SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Green Bay -6 At Atlanta

I know all about Atlanta’s insane home record but there are a few things that concern me with the Falcons this year.  Michael Turner has a ton of miles on his legs and seems to be slowing a bit other than his constant threat near the end zone and this team just doesn’t seem to have much in the way of big game wins.  Green Bay would certainly be a big time win for them but with these two teams being essentially composed of the same parts as last year’s squads, Atlanta could be in for a beating.  We all remember the 27 point beating in the divisional round of the playoffs last year (GB 48-ATL 21) and although I don’t see this happening, I think Green Bay easily covers -6 points in a win.

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

At Detroit -5.5 At Chicago

Everyone knows about Detroit’s offense by now and its no surprise how good they are with 1^st round picks all over the field but I think the story of this game might be more about Chicago’s pitiful, aging defense.  People have been continuing to give this D credit based on past performance and it is simply no longer warranted.  They are flat out not a good defense anymore.  Detroit can put up points in bunches and I like them to cover -5.5 at home against Da Bears.