Welcome all of you, it has been a hell of a long time. Most of you won’t remember me from my previous writings on this website, but if you do, I cannot thank you enough for coming back. My name is Jim and I am a LONG time Fantasy Football fanatic. I cannot get enough of watching Football and researching it and this has always translated to success on the fantasy gridiron. I’m a football purist and an avid Buffalo Bills fan. It’s been a LONG time since that didn’t get me laughed at, so forgive me if I get cocky. I won’t be sorry about it, but you can feel free to forgive me anyways.
When I stopped writing for my blog here a couple of years ago, I was freelancing in the IT field and struggling to get by. I made the decision so that I could focus my efforts on what was going to pay the bills and if needed, transition into a regular full-time job, like every other jackass in the world. I am now that jackass, and work full time in the IT field here in Buffalo. It’s a good job, great people, but I won’t be discussing it much going forward. Just know that my rent is being paid and I can now afford to feed myself again. I mention all this as a form of explanation for why I will only have time for a post or maybe two per week, as opposed to the daily posts AND 2 versions of rankings throughout the week. For now, I will just post once a week and I will promise it by Wednesday night, though the times will vary and you may see it on Tuesday. I am also going to be doing what I am right now; including a long-form portion to the post, where I rant about my personal life a bit or discuss how great or terrible I did on Draft Kings the previous week. Sorry, Fan Duel players, I am not on your website yet, though that will probably change before long. I hope you guys enjoy it!
Week 3 was a big week for sleeper picks and HUGE fantasy production. I had a great week, in my second week of playing in Daily Fantasy, on the backs of Joseph Randle, AJ Green, Tyrod Taylor and James Jones. I am still betting dollars, as opposed to tens or hundred of dollars, but I am still learning the format(s) and want to ease into it. Nothing would kill my excitement for these daily games like going bust on my first deposit in two weeks. Thankfully, I am slightly ahead after two weeks. If you are wondering, my first week was terrible, I wasn’t stacking QBs and WRs like you need to in daily fantasy. I nearly had an even bigger week, this week, with Sammy Watkins the recipient of a few deep throws early in the game. I stacked Taylor and Watkins in a couple bets and they would have won, had he hauled in a TD before leaving the game with an injury.
This week should be interesting, though I have to set myself up to be immune to any game-time decisions that might crop up throughout the week. I will be out of town camping with some college friends, one of who is the designer of this here website, and probably won’t be strolling in on Sunday until around kickoff time. If you have all weekend to watch the news, you want to keep a close eye on Sammy Watkins and LeSean McCoy’s status going into a soft matchup vs the Giants at home. Not because you should play them, but Karlos Williams goes from a flex consideration to the best bargain of the week, should McCoy sit. And Percy Harvin is also establishing himself and Tyrod’s #1 target, getting involved on possession routes, rather than just the deep ball. Lets look at who I am using in my lineups this week on Draft Kings:
Tyrod Taylor vs NYG $5,800: You can call me a homer if you want to. And you’d be right. But numbers don’t lie. T-Mobile is 5th in the league in completion percentage (74.4%), 3rd in yards per attempt (9.15), 3rd in Passing TDs (7) and 5th in passer rating. The Giants are coming to town and have the WORST pass defense in the NFL over the first three games. Look to stack Tyrod with Harvin (if Watkins is out) or Charles Clay, as the Giants struggle vs the TE. Because it is a little difficult to stack with Taylor, use him mostly in 50/50s and Double-Up formats.
Andy Dalton @ KC $5,900: Last week was quite a statistical show for Dalton, Green and Marvin Jones. They beat up on a struggling Ravens secondary to improve to 3-0 on the year, taking an early lead in the division. They will be motivated to capitalize on the weeks where Pittsburgh is without Big Ben, even if they are going into Arrowhead, to face one of the best home-field advantages in the league. KC’s secondary was on display on Monday night and not in a good way. They were sustaining more injuries than their roster could keep up with and played almost the entire 2nd half with 3 safeties on the field. They rank 31st against the pass and I think the Bengals are going to attack these weaknesses early and often.
Aaron Rodgers @ SF $7,900: I may not have been playing Daily Fantasy for long, but I do know that you are generally rewarded for not spending big bucks on the QB position. With that said, sometimes a match-up is too good to ignore. On the road against San Fran, who has allowed an average of 284 yards per game in the air over the first 3 games, Rodgers looks to continue his elite level of play. James Jones has been a BEAST for Rodgers, with a nose for the endzone. Davante Adams might be hurting, but it hasn’t shown on the stat sheet thus far. Look to stack Rodgers with Cobb or Jones and you should easily get the bang for your buck from the most expensive QB for the week.
Jamaal Charles vs CIN $7,600: I firmly believe in spending your money on studs at the RB position. There are so few guys who you can rely on, that it is too risky to take a chance on someone sharing carries. Cincinnati is going to put up points and the Chiefs have to find a way to keep up. Despite breaking the absurd streak of ignoring their WR’s being broken, the best weapon on this team is Charles and they WILL use him. Hell, Charles was good enough last week in what was a pretty thorough dismantling by the Packers. They found their stride late and that bodes well for them going into this game. Cinci’s D doesn’t scare you and even if this is a blow out for the Bengals, Charles will still get plenty of touches in the passing game.
Mark Ingram vs NO $6,600: The battle of the backups is on this week as the Romo-less Cowboys head to face the Brees-less Saints. Ingram was a solid runner last week for New Orleans and is the best option in this game that is sure to feature the ground game from both teams. Unlike Randle, who out performed Ingram last week, Mark Ingram is the unquestioned work-horse for his team. CJ Spiller is being worked into the offense slowly and is going to be seeing most of his work on passing downs when he settles in. Dallas can be run on. Their defense is playing well, but still shouldn’t scare anyone. Don’t expect a 30 point game, but I think Ingram tallies over 100 yards and finds the end zone this week.
Latavius Murray @ CHI $6,300: I have been a fan of Derek Carr from day 1, but I was not a fan of his surroundings for all of last year and leading up to this season. Murray seemed like a quality back, but I didn’t expect the Raiders O-Line to open too many holes for him yet. They shut me up last week, that’s for sure. Murray totaled 139 yards on 26 carries and scored last week, leading to a very solid 25 point day.
Karlos Williams vs NYG $3,400: To be clear, I like this play whether McCoy is active or not. If McCoy sits, he’s a steal and I think i’ll have him in literally every lineup for the week, but if not, he’s a solid flex play and a goal line threat. 1 TD in every game of his short career. They will use him more and more each week, especially if he can keep up the 9.2 YPC he had last week.
AJ Green vs KC $7,600: I pretty much explained my reasoning in the Dalton section above. I like Jones, too, but Green is just such a beast in the red zone.
Amari Cooper @ CHI $6,300: I’ve been impressed with Carr for a little bit now and while I loved Cooper’s skill-set as a rookie, I didn’t think the offensive line could hold up protection enough for Cooper to be consistent. My concerns are fading fast as the Raiders have looked good for a couple weeks now, found a running game and have a nice matchup vs a Bears team that is essentially tanking for the #1 pick at this point. If he can beat Haden last week, he can carve up this Bears secondary.
Donte Moncrief vs JAX $5,000: He has all but nailed the coffin shut on Andre Johnson’s career by out-performing him this season. And the fact that Johnson is on the roster still brings Moncrief’s salary cost a bit lower than it should be. Luck finished last week’s game strong and got a big win for that team, look for them to continue to do pretty well this week as they beat up on Jacksonville, the division’s proverbial red-headed step child.
Randall Cobb @ SF $7,400: I usually shell out some big bucks on a stud WR or two per lineup and Cobb is getting the call this week in a few. Not the best value, but after watching him abuse the Chief’s patchwork secondary on Monday night, I think he is in for a repeat performance this week in San Fran. I loved the work he did in the red zone, especially. More important than having Cobb on your lineup, is having someone in the Packers passing game. Rodgers is using everyone, so don’t ignore it when he has a good matchup.
Jordan Reed vs PHI $4,500: The struggles of the Redskins and Kirk Cousins have not really impacted Reed’s output. Draft Kings is a PPR format and Reed is averaging over 16 points per week with this scoring system. There aren’t a ton of TEs that I am liking this week, so I want to play the most match-up proof guy possible. But Gronk is on BYE, so…
Martellus Bennett vs OAK $4,500: The only thing I like here is the matchup. You’ll never go wrong at TE if you play the guy that faces the Raiders, this season. Unless the guy’s QB is Jimmy Clausen… Who knows, the Josh McCown to Gary Barnidge connection was big for me last weekend, so why not Bennett, too?!
Raiders @ CHI $2,600: Another play about the match-up. The defense isn’t great, outside of their pass rushers, but if you can pressure Jimmy Clausen, you can turn the ball over… I hope. Either way they are a cheap play and should at LEAST tally a good number of sacks in this game, if they can’t find a way to contribute on the scoreboard.
Cardinals vs STL $3,400: Nick Foles and the Rams offense have struggled so far this season and the Cards are on fire. The offense is humming, which keeps the D well rested. And the D is playing GREAT football thus far. We’ve seen them tear up some bad offenses already this season and while St. Louis usually plays their divisional games tight, this is a clear Super Bowl contender they are facing.