Starting Fantasy Lineup
Nov
30
2010

Studs And Duds From Week 12

POSTED BY Big Jim | No Comments »

Studs

Peyton Hillis, RB, CLE – What more is there to say about this guy? He is lighting the NFL on fire with his performance this season.  With Gore out for the year, Adrian Peterson is the ONLY back I would rather own than Hillis.  Not bad for a free agent acquisition.  Hillis racked up 131 yards rushing and scored three times, he was also able to add 68 receiving yards.  Hillis is the key to the success of the Browns offense and there is just no way that his workload diminishes.  You can’t ask for a better guy to take into the playoffs.

Dwayne Bowe, WR, KC - Speaking of players performing at an elite level… Dwayne Bowe went from a HUGE early-season disappointment, to a fantasy owners dream.  Just in time for the playoffs too!  You can’t afford to sit this guy on your bench… no matter who you have on your team.  Bowe currently leads the NFL with 14 receiving TDs, exactly one more than any player had last year over the course of all 16 games.  Bowe has 13 of his 14 scores in the last 7 weeks… talk about a hot streak!

Brian Westbrook, RB, SF – Before this week Westbrook had just 5 carries and 9 yards.  After Frank Gore’s fantasy-season ended early in week 12, Brian saw 23 carries and tallied 123 yards and a rushing TD.  Westbrook used to be a fantasy-stud and since we only need him for a few weeks… I am not scared of his age at all.  I didn’t get to include him in my pickups article this week since this all happened on Monday, but make sure you pick up Westbrook and keep him from the Gore owner who just got screwed over for the playoffs!

Michael Vick, QB, PHI - What more can you ask for a QB that no one drafted? I know that I personally have yet to lose with Vick in my lineup this fantasy-season and despite losing this week, Vick’s performance was excellent.  Look for another HUGE game from Vick in Week 13 as he faces the league’s worst secondary on Thursday night in prime time.

Wes Welker, WR, NE – Well, two good games in a row for a guy like Welker would usually mean a significant increase in the rankings… but as he is by far the top wide receiver on the Patriots, we can expect him to see a lot of snaps across from Darrelle Revis and that typically leads to a pretty terrible fantasy-performance.

Fred Jackson, RB, BUF - I don’t have any specific numbers to back this up, so feel free to correct me in the comments, but Fred Jackson had what is sure to be the best fantasy performance that ANY RB has had against the Steelers all season.  And as I said last week when I put Jackson on my Hate list (sorry about that)… his only chance was in the passing game.  I really think that Jackson is a must-start RB2 regardless of match up the rest of the season.

Mike Goodson, RB, CAR – While I am surprised to see so much work go to Jonathan Stewart after how productive Goodson was the past couple weeks, the tandem approach led to the Panther’s most dominant rushing performance of the year.  It was a winning approach if Kasay can make that field goal too… Look for more of the same, with Goodson having the most fantasy value due to his value in the passing game.  Goodson is a flex-play here and Stewart is more of a bench player/injury fill-in.

Rashard Mendenhall, RB, PIT - Like I said last week, you start your running backs against the Buffalo Bills.  We don’t learn anything new from this big-performance by Mendenhall, who will remain a low-end top 10 RB the rest of the season.

Mike Tolbert, RB, SD – Norv Turner isn’t one to play games with his running backs like Shanahan and Todd Haley do… so even when Ryan Mathews comes back from injury, expect Tolbert to carry the load as the Charger’s lead back.  You can bank on him being a flex-play the rest of the season and many Frank Gore owners will likely be using him as an RB 2 to salvage any playoff hopes they may have.

Duds

Chris Johnson, RB, TEN - Zero points is not acceptable from a number 1 overall draft pick.  Johnson has had some disappointing performances… and with this one he validates the decision that some people made to take AP over him with the first overall pick this year.  Truly great players are able to perform and be a positive for their team when they are struggling.  Rusty Smith or not, this should not have happened.  With Kerry Collins likely to return, you need to weather the storm and the offense should stabilize when Collins does return.

Terrell Owens, WR, CIN - Have you met Darelle Revis? I won’t likely include someone who is on Revis Island again in my Duds list, but with how dominant Owens has been all year… this is an announcement that the Revis-effect is back.

Anquan Boldin, WR, BAL - He didn’t used to have so many bad games while in Arizona… but he also didn’t have the upside that he has on this Ravens offense.  I am very low on Boldin this week going against the Steelers, but after that is Houston… so there is a light at the end of this tunnel.  Hopefully you drafted well enough to consider him a flex-option or WR3, which is where I will be ranking him from here on out.

Dez Bryant, WR, DAL - It is time to come back down to earth when ranking Bryant.  It was such a successful strategy for the Saints, who where able to make the rookie visibly upset.  It affected his play and you should expect to see the Colts employ a very similar strategy.

Jahvid Best, RB, DET – Both of his feet have turf toe now, saw no work last week on thanksgiving and I can’t rank him as someone you should consider starting any longer.

Mike Williams, WR, TB - He wasn’t able to rack up many yards or find the endzone… but the Ravens are still a very good defense and the Buccaneers struggle against quality opponents.  Luckily, there are no good secondaries left on the Buccs schedule until week 17.

Mike Wallace, WR, PIT - I have spent some time trying to convince people that the Bills are not a good opponent for WRs and QBs this season.  Now that the offense is playing well, it is even more apparent. Wallace is fine going forward, the Steelers are still an elite team in the AFC.

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Nov
29
2010

Waiver Wire Pickups and The Dump List for Week 13

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Pickups

Mike Goodson, RB, CAR – We are back to a two-headed beast at RB for the Panthers, but now Goodson is the lead back.  He has a lot of value added from his involvement in the passing game, so even though Stewart was the better rusher this week… Goodson scored the TD and racked up 81 receiving yards.  Stewart and Goodson must be owned but if you got them both, Goodson is the guy you want to start.

Deion Branch, WR, NE - This guy is only owned in 53% of Yahoo leagues and I heard a rumor once that Tom Brady is pretty good.  This type of performance can not be expected weekly, the reason being he only saw 5 targets on the entire game.  On his 5 targets, he caught 3 passes for 113 yards and found the end zone on 2 of them.  He is a flex play in deep formats, but quality depth for your bench in a standard league.

Maurice Morris, RB, DET – Jahvid Best’s turf toes are too much to keep him on the field for the Lions’ thanksgiving day loss to the Patriots. Maurice Morris saw just 9 carries for 55 yards, but he scored twice.  I expect him to keep getting the goal line work and with the Lions offense being more than capable of moving the ball down the field, he should maintain some value the rest of the time that Best and Smith are injured.

Ben Obomanu, WR, SEA – Mike Williams was out in week 12 and Obomanu caught 5 balls for 159 yards and a score.  That makes 3 TDs in his last 4 games and an average of 85 yards per game over the same time frame.  Ben’s value takes a hit when Williams comes back, but he should be sure to see snaps as a slot receiver when he is back and is worth owning in standard formats as well as deep leagues.  Also Seattle is in a weak division, so their schedule the rest of the way is favorable and they will be clawing for their division title.

Mike Tolbert, RB, SD – I know your thinking that he shouldn’t be on this list, because he isn’t available… but in about 20% of Yahoo leagues he is unowned.  After back to back 100 yard performances, I am not even too scared about Mathews coming back and eating away at his workload.  Tolbert has been by far the best running back on the Chargers and should still see a lion’s share of the carries when their number 1 draft pick returns.

Toby Gerhart, RB, MIN - He is one of the best handcuffs in fantasy football.  The AP injury doesn’t seem to be bad, so I wouldn’t rush to go and pick him up… unless you own Peterson.  If your a Peterson owner, you are asking for trouble if you don’t go pick up Gerhart right now.  Moves like this ensure depth going into the playoffs and can save your season from ending early due to injury.

Jacoby Ford, WR, OAK – Ford racked up 324 all-purpose yards in a loss to the Dolphins on Sunday.  The concern here is always consistency, The Raiders went with Bruce Gradkowski at QB in this game and the pressure came early and often to force Bruce to have just over 50% completion percentage.  Also, over 200 of Ford’s yards came from kickoff returns, so if your league counts those… then Ford is a flex start for you right away, go scoop him up!

Dump List

Michael Bush, RB, OAK - If you are fighting for a playoff spot in your league, then you can’t afford the hold onto a handcuff like Bush.  The Raiders have a carousel at the QB position and Bush has not been able to contribute to their rushing attack since DMC (Darren McFadden) returned from injury.  If your a McFadden owner, and have your playoff spot locked up, then hold him… or go out and pick him up!

Zach Miller, TE, OAK – Planar Fascia injuries are really painful, and now he has added a fibula injury to the mix.  Expect him to miss some time and once he is back, the playoffs are not the time to take a risk on an injured guy.

Steve Smith, WR, CAR - In a week where playoff hopes hang in the balance, feel free to cut this under achiever from your team in favor of someone you might actually want to start.  The QB position is the reason for his downfall in production, but since the running game is clicking and he still isn’t able to produce… I don’t know what the Panthers could fix to change this.

Jerome Harrison, RB, PHI - Record-setting performances can make a lot of people look good.  Harrison hasn’t been able to be productive since the huge game against the Redskins and I can’t see a situation where he is again, apart from McCoy getting hurt.

Donald Driver, WR, GB - He is old and slowed by his injury.  He is still the 2nd WR on the depth chart, but I expect James Jones to take most of the targets and eventually the starting job from Driver over the course of the season.

Keiland Williams, RB, WAS - If you’re clawing for a playoff spot, Williams is probably too risky for you to trust as a starter.  Don’t worry about dropping him after a terrible performance, Torain will be healthy soon enough!

Vincent Jackson, WR, SD – Early reports today say that Jackson has suffered injuries to both of his calves.  We don’t yet know how severe it is, but he is clearly not in game shape.  He is just too risky for my liking this late in the fantasy-season.

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Nov
28
2010

Week 12 Gameday Injury Update

POSTED BY Big Jim | No Comments »

Josh Cribbs, WR, CLE - Active
Maurice Jones-Drew, RB, JAC - Active
Santana Moss, WR, WAS - Active
Sidney Rice, WR, MIN - Active
Mike Sims-Walker, WR, JAC - Active
Benjamin Watson, TE, CLE - Active

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Nov
26
2010

Week 12 Player Rankings 2.0: Defense and Special Teams

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1. Steelers @ BUF
2. Packers @ ATL
3. Eagles @ CHI
4. 49ers @ ARI
5. Ravens Vs. TB
6. Giants Vs. JAC
7. Browns Vs. CAR
8. Raiders Vs. MIA
9. Titans @ HOU
10. Chiefs @ SEA
11. Vikings @ WAS
12. Bears Vs. PHI
13. Redskins Vs. MIN
14. Chargers @ IND
15. Falcons Vs. GB
16. Seahawks Vs. KC
17. Buccaneers @ BAL
18. Dolphins @ OAK
19. Rams @ DEN
20. Colts Vs. SD
21. Broncos Vs. STL
22. Cardinals Vs. SF
23. Texans Vs. TEN
24. Panthers @ CLE
25. Jaguars @ NYG
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Nov
26
2010

Week 12 Player Rankings 2.0: Kickers

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1. Mason Crosby @ ATL
2. Matt Bryant Vs. GB
3. Rob Bironas @ HOU
4. Sebastian Janikowski Vs. MIA
5. Jay Feely Vs. SF
6. Neil Rackers Vs. TEN
7. Nate Kaeding @ IND
8. Ryan Longwell @ WAS
9. David Akers @ CHI
10. Lawrence Tynes Vs. JAC
11. Billy Cundiff Vs. TB
12. Matt Prater Vs. STL
13. Adam Vinatieri Vs. SD
14. Dan Carpenter @ OAK
15. Robbie Gould Vs. PHI
16. Josh Brown @ DEN
17. Matt Prater Vs. STL
18. Graham Gano Vs. MIN
19. Josh Scobee @ NYG
20. Phil Dawson Vs. CAR
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Nov
26
2010

Week 12 Player Rankings 2.0: Tight Ends

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1. Antonio Gates @ IND
2. Jacob Tamme Vs. SD
3. Vernon Davis @ ARI
4. Zach Miller Vs. MIA
5. Visanthe Shiancoe @ WAS
6. Chris Cooley Vs. MIN
7. Tony Gonzalez Vs. GB
8. Todd Heap Vs. TB
9. Kevin Boss Vs. JAC
10. Greg Olsen Vs. PHI
11. Heath Miller @ BUF
12. Marcedes Lewis @ NYG
13. Kellen Winslow @ BAL
14. Joel Dressen Vs. TEN
15. Benjamin Watson Vs. CAR
16. Bo Scaife @ HOU
17. Anthony Fasano @ OAK
18. Brent Celek @ CHI
19. John Carlson Vs. KC
20. Daniel Fells @ DEN
21. Andrew Quarless @ ATL
22. Michael Hoomanawanui @ DEN
23. Fred Davis Vs. MIN
24. Evan Moore Vs. CAR
25. Donald Lee @ ATL
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Nov
26
2010

Week 12 Player Rankings 2.0: Wide Receivers

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1. Andre Johnson Vs. TEN
2. Roddy White Vs. GB
3. Greg Jennings @ ATL
4. Reggie Wayne Vs. SD
5. Dwayne Bowe @ SEA
6. Brandon Lloyd Vs. STL
7. Mike Wallace @ BUF
8. Larry Fitzgerald Vs. SF
9. DeSean Jackson @ CHI
10. Steve Johnson Vs. PIT
11. Jeremy Maclin @ CHI
12. Mario Manningham Vs. JAC
13. Mike Williams (TB) @ BAL
14. Percy Harvin @ WAS
15. Vincent Jackson @ IND
16. Anquan Boldin Vs. TB
17. Santana Moss Vs. MIN
18. Michael Crabtree @ ARI
19. Malcom Floyd @ IND
20. Sidney Rice @ WAS
21. Pierre Garcon Vs. SD
22. Randy Moss @ HOU
23. Hines Ward @ BUF
24. Johnny Knox Vs. PHI
25. James Jones @ ATL
26. Nate Washington @ HOU
27. Mike Thomas @ NYG
28. Mike Williams (SEA) Vs. KC
29. Danny Amendola @ DEN
30. Steve Smith (CAR) @ CLE
31. Steve Breaston Vs. SF
32. Blair White Vs. SD
33. Brandon Marshall @ OAK
34. Lee Evans Vs. PIT
35. Derek Hagan Vs. JAC
36. Donald Driver @ ATL
37. Davone Bess @ OAK
38. Jabar Gaffney Vs. STL
39. Mike Sims-Walker @ NYG
40. Derrick Mason Vs. TB
41. Anthony Armstrong Vs. MIN
42. Davone Bess @ OAK
43. Eddie Royal Vs. STL
44. Laurent Robinson @ DEN
45. Kevin Walter Vs. TEN
46. Louis Murphy Vs. MIA
47. Devin Hester Vs. PHI
48. Golden Tate Vs. KC
49. Jacoby Jones Vs. TEN
50. Mohamed Massaquoi Vs. CAR
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Nov
26
2010

Week 12 Player Rankings 2.0: Running Backs

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1. Adrian Peterson @ WAS
2. Chris Johnson @ HOU
3. Frank Gore @ ARI
4. Peyton Hillis Vs. CAR
5. Arian Foster Vs. TEN
6. Rashard Mendenhall @ BUF
7. Steven Jackson @ DEN
8. Darren McFadden Vs. MIA
9. Jamaal Charles @ SEA
10. Michael Turner Vs. GB
11. Ray Rice Vs. TB
12. Maurice Jones-Drew @ NYG
13. LeSean McCoy @ CHI
14. Ahmad Bradshaw Vs. JAC
15. Matt Forte Vs. PHI
16. Knowshon Moreno Vs. STL
17. Thomas Jones @ SEA
18. LeGarrette Blount @ BAL
19. Fred Jackson Vs. PIT
20. Keiland Williams Vs. MIN
21. Mike Tolbert @ IND
22. Joseph Addai Vs. SD
23. Brandon Jackson @ ATL
24. Fred Jackson Vs. PIT
25. Mike Goodson @ CLE
26. Ryan Mathews @ IND
27. Ronnie Brown @ OAK
28. Brandon Jacobs Vs. JAC
29. Jonathan Stewart @ CLE
30. Donald Brown Vs. SD
31. Willis McGahee Vs. TB
32. Ryan Torain Vs. MIN
33. Beanie Wells @ KC
34. Justin Forsett Vs. KC
35. Ricky Williams @ OAK
36. Tim Hightower Vs. SF
37. Marshawn Lynch Vs. KC
38. Michael Bush Vs. MIA
39. Mewelde Moore @ BUF
40. Mike Hart Vs. SD
41. Chester Taylor Vs. PHI
42. Carnell Williams @ BAL
43. Darren Sproles @ IND
44. Javarris James Vs. SD
45. Jason Snelling Vs. GB
46. John Kuhn @ ATL
47. Jerome Harrison @ CHI
48. Derrick Ward Vs. TEN
49. Leon Washington Vs. KC
50. Marcel Reese Vs. MIA
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Nov
26
2010

Week 12 Player Rankings 2.0: Quarterbacks

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1. Philip Rivers @ IND
2. Aaron Rodgers @ ATL
3. Peyton Manning Vs. SD
4. Michael Vick @ CHI
5. Kyle Orton @ STL
6. Ben Roethlisberger @ BUF
7. Eli Manning Vs. JAC
8. Joe Flacco Vs. TB
9. Matt Schaub Vs. TEN
10. Matt Cassel @ SEA
11. Donovan McNabb Vs. MIN
12. Jay Cutler Vs. PHI
13. Matt Ryan Vs. GB
14. Josh Freeman @ BAL
15. Ryan Fitzpatrick @ PIT
16. David Garrard @ NYG
17. Sam Bradford @ DEN
18. Matt Hasselbeck Vs. KC
19. Troy Smith @ ARI
20. Brett Favre @ WAS
21. Derek Anderson Vs. SF
22. Jason Campbell Vs. MIA
23. Rusty Smith @ HOU
24. Jake Delhomme Vs. CAR
25. Tyler Thigpen @ OAK
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Nov
26
2010

Week 12 Friday Mailbag

POSTED BY Big Jim | 1 Comment »

Question 1: Asked by @NYLivinCAMind

Start 1: Bradford, Ryan or Cassel?

Answer

Even though Matt Ryan is a beast at home, I have to give the nod to Cassel here.  Ryan has a much taller-task to overcome with the Packers coming to town, than Matt Cassel faces by going to Qwest Field.  The Seahawks have the NFL’s 30th ranked pass defense and are allowing an average of just over 16 fantasy points per game to the opposing QB.  With the recent emergence of Dwayne Bowe as an elite WR for the Chiefs, Cassel finally has a reliable target on the outside to make big plays and help him convert on longer 3rd down attempts.

Question 2: Asked by Connor

Due to some inopportune injuries I really need to add some WR depth with huge upside down the road for the playoffs.  Who should I pickup: Steve Breaston, Blair White, Nate Burleson, or Davone Bess?

Answer

These are some pretty decent options for pickup.  Steve Breaston has been surprisingly consistent with the number of yards he is able to build up by the end of the game.  The Cardinals are a losing team and are typically forced to go to the air at the end of the game in effort to stay competitive.  To me, the stand out here is Blair White, however.  Austin Collie has had some serious issues with staying healthy and with Pierre Garcon not being the same go-to-guy that he was last season… there are a lot of targets to spread around in Indianapolis.

Question 2: Asked by wtb2612

Pick 2 to start (RB2 and FLEX): Keiland Williams, Mike Tolbert, Mike Goodson and Darren Sproles

Answer

You’re going to need to keep an eye on the status of Ryan Torain for the game this week.  As of now, it does not look as if he will be able to play (he is currently listed as questionable however) and Jonathan Stewart should be back to compete with Goodson for carries in that struggling Panthers offense.  Tolbert and Williams, due to injury, should be the ones to see the most carries and are on better offenses which are more likely to be in a position for them to score a TD. You can see my answer to this question and the answers of others on Fandemic.

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